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International Bestseller
One of Foreign Policy's "21 Books to Read in 2012"
A Publishers Weekly Top 10 Business Book
“The best book on global economic trends I’ve read in a while.”―Fareed Zakaria, CNN GPS
To identify the economic stars of the future we should abandon the habit of extrapolating from the recent past and lumping wildly diverse countries together. We need to remember that sustained economic success is a rare phenomenon. After years of rapid growth, the most celebrated emerging markets―Brazil, Russia, India, and China―are about to slow down. Which countries will rise to challenge them? In his best-selling book, writer and investor Ruchir Sharma identifies which countries are most likely to leap ahead and why, drawing insights from time spent on the ground and detailed demographic, political, and economic analysis.
With a new chapter on America’s future economic prospects, Breakout Nations offers a captivating picture of the shifting balance of global economic power among emerging nations and the West. 12 photographs
- Sales Rank: #353111 in Books
- Brand: W W Norton Company
- Published on: 2013-04-08
- Original language: English
- Number of items: 1
- Dimensions: 8.30" h x .90" w x 5.50" l, .55 pounds
- Binding: Paperback
- 336 pages
Features
Review
The head of Morgan Stanley 's emerging markets division conducts a brisk worldwide tour in search of new markets ready for takeoff. No first-book jitters for Sharma, longtime columnist for the likes of Newsweek and the Wall Street Journal. His smooth, almost chummy style suits him ideally for guiding civilians through the sometimes-arcane thicket of the dismal science, looking for those emerging markets likely to disappoint or exceed expectations in the coming years... Confining his predictions to the near future, Sharma refreshingly comes across as that rare thing Harry Truman once sought: a 'one-handed economist' willing to stake his reputation without resort to on the other hand equivocation. For investors looking to place their bets and for general readers looking to understand the global economic landscape in the wake of the Great Recession.
Accessible to newbies and revelatory for veterans, Sharma's observations upend conventional wisdom regarding what it takes to succeed in the relentlessly competitive global marketplace.
[A] country-by-country tour de force of what makes emerging markets tick. He is an excellent writer with a keen eye for detail and a lyrical prose sense... As with Michael Lewis Boomerang on the European crisis, for sheer readability and insight on the various parts of the ongoing emerging drama I daresay you won t find a better choice. --Jon Anderson
Mr. Sharma 's intent is to help you find the best places around the world to invest, emphasizing that it will take some work on your part.
This week 's Book of the Week is, Breakout Nations by Ruchir Sharma, one of the world 's leading emerging market investors. This is the best book on global economic trends I ve read in a while. --Fareed Zakaria, CNN GPS
... it 's refreshing to read Breakout Nations, Ruchir Sharma 's book on the Bric countries Brazil, Russia, India, China and the rest of the developing world... [H]is book offers a careful view that has little truck with forecasts of the relentless Bric-led rise of the emerging world.
The head of Morgan Stanley s emerging markets division conducts a brisk worldwide tour in search of new markets ready for takeoff. No first-book jitters for Sharma, longtime columnist for the likes of Newsweek and the Wall Street Journal. His smooth, almost chummy style suits him ideally for guiding civilians through the sometimes-arcane thicket of the dismal science, looking for those emerging markets likely to disappoint or exceed expectations in the coming years... Confining his predictions to the near future, Sharma refreshingly comes across as that rare thing Harry Truman once sought: a 'one-handed economist' willing to stake his reputation without resort to on the other hand equivocation. For investors looking to place their bets and for general readers looking to understand the global economic landscape in the wake of the Great Recession.
This week s Book of the Week is, Breakout Nations by Ruchir Sharma, one of the world s leading emerging market investors. This is the best book on global economic trends I ve read in a while. --Fareed Zakaria, CNN GPS
Breakout Nations works best as a compilation of highly illuminating country vignettes--similar, say, to Michael Lewis' Boomerang... As with Mr. Lewis' work on the European crisis, for sheer readability and insight on the various parts of the ongoing developing world drama, I dare say you won't find a better choice. --Jonathan Anderson
Mr. Sharma's intent is to help you find the best places around the world to invest, emphasizing that it will take some work on your part.
In Breakout Nations, he takes us on a fascinating gallop through the countries at the edges of the developed world. Not only does he challenge the accepted wisdom--that China and India will motor on, ad infinitum--but he comes up with some surprising candidates for the next decade's economic stars.
... it's refreshing to read Breakout Nations, Ruchir Sharma's book on the Bric countries--Brazil, Russia, India, China--and the rest of the developing world... [H]is book offers a careful view that has little truck with forecasts of the relentless Bric-led rise of the emerging world.
The head of Morgan Stanley's emerging markets division conducts a brisk worldwide tour in search of new markets ready for takeoff. No first-book jitters for Sharma, longtime columnist for the likes of Newsweek and the Wall Street Journal. His smooth, almost chummy style suits him ideally for guiding civilians through the sometimes-arcane thicket of the dismal science, looking for those emerging markets likely to disappoint or exceed expectations in the coming years... Confining his predictions to the near future, Sharma refreshingly comes across as that rare thing Harry Truman once sought: a 'one-handed economist' willing to stake his reputation without resort to "on the other hand" equivocation. For investors looking to place their bets and for general readers looking to understand the global economic landscape in the wake of the Great Recession.
A book that combines keen on-the-ground reporting and economic and investment analysis with lively, lucid prose. "
Breakout Nations is basically an investors lonely planet guide to the world for the new century. "
Mr. Sharma s intent is to help you find the best places around the world to invest, emphasizing that it will take some work on your part. "
At the core of this impressive book is the counter-intuitive argument that the boom of the mid-2000s was a blip in the long historical trend for emerging economies and that the next decade may be one of decelerating. In Sharma s view, the much-hyped decline of the West and emergence of the rest may take a lot longer than optimists would like to believe. "
... it s refreshing to read Breakout Nations, Ruchir Sharma s book on the Bric countries Brazil, Russia, India, China and the rest of the developing world... [H]is book offers a careful view that has little truck with forecasts of the relentless Bric-led rise of the emerging world. "
A primer to guide us... this is a great road-map to the new and better-balanced world in which we will all live, and an encouraging one. "
It is really the focus of economic attention around the world. It is a whole new look at which economies are going to be winners and which are going to be losers. --Prannoy Roy, NDTV"
There is no better book for country-by-country accounts of emerging markets (and riskier ones called frontier markets). Its strong point is the author s reliance on grassroots experience in each country, avoiding statistical charts. "
This is among the best books to understand the emerging world and its positive and negative aspects. Sharma matches the brilliance of Thomas L Friedman, author of the widely cited The World is Flat. "
About the Author
Head of emerging markets and global macro at Morgan Stanley Investment Management, Ruchir Sharma is the author of the international bestseller Breakout Nations. He writes frequently for the Wall Street Journal and Foreign Affairs and lives in New York City.
Most helpful customer reviews
1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
Sometimes Deep Global Vision Can Be Fun
By Anthony D. Sueck
If I could start first with a regret, it is that I read the books of Ruchir Sharma in the wrong order.
I first discovered "The Rise and Fall of Nations" which was published a few years later, and enjoyed it enough to see what else Ruchir had written. Global economics is one of my particular topics of interest, and there is no better source than the Chief Global Strategist at Morgan Stanley.
He writes with a very crisp, colorful style, though I felt it was more developed in his later work. Breakout Nations is most of what I had expected in a precursor to that book.
If there is anything that the modern reader-- five-years-plus after publication-- should be impressed by, it's the conclusions drawn in this book. It was written before commodity prices collapsed, before Brazil's economic crisis, before the inevitable stuttering of Russia, but this book anticipated it all. Sharma clearly knows what to look for in potential breakout nations.
1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
interesting book
By Andres C. Salama
An interesting book by Indian born economist Ruchir Sharma, the head of emerging markets at Morgan Stanley on which emerging countries he believes will be able to break out on the new few years.
Sharma is bearish on Thailand (too much political instability – this was written before the recent coup), Malaysia (the government is increasingly hostile to market mechanisms), Taiwan (the economy is centered on the export of a few products, like computer components, in which companies don’t have a lot of market power), Mexico (the economy is in the hand of just a few businessmen, more interested in gaining rents than in generating genuine growth), Brazil (there is still a lot of macroeconomic instability and the country has not invested in the infrastructure needed for future growth), Russia (based on natural resources and dominated by oligarchs) and South Africa (the economy is too regulated, and too much of its wealth is concentrated in too few white hands). In the emerging markets of Eastern Europe, he likes the future prospects of Poland and the Czech Republic over that of Hungary. He thinks China has already consumed all the low hanging fruit and will be growing at more normal rates in the future. Regarding Vietnam, while admitting the recent years have seen large economic growth, he doubts the country will be able to turn into a second China (its education system is poor and its politicians are less able than the Chinese). India needs to tackle crony capitalism if it wants to pursue a sustained path of high economic growth.
He is optimistic about South Korea (almost the only country, except some oil producers, that have graduated from a poor to a rich economy in the recent decades), Turkey (he praises president Erdogan for leaving behind the long conflict between the secular military and the Islamic masses), Philippines (he believes the new government will be able to put forward reform), Indonesia (among the best run nations of Southeast Asia) and Sri Lanka (now that the long civil war is finally over, he believes the economy will be able to grow).
Sharma believes that as the decade-long commodities boom winds down, the big winner will be the Western world, who will have to pay less for the commodities it buys and especially the United States, who remains at the frontier of new technological products. If you read regularly the world economic news, you won’t be reading here something terribly new, but it is an interesting read nonetheless.
2 of 2 people found the following review helpful.
Provides an interesting view
By G. Miller
I enjoyed this book and the view it presents. It is a a very nice walk through of a large number of countries. The data in it might be a little dated as the main book is from 2010, but it ends with an update. I think more importantly than the current data is the thought process that he applies. He tries to show how to use it consistently across countries to understand the macro setting and how it impacts the chance of a country wide breakthrough.
Two caveats on my rating. First, much of the analysis and framework in the book is presented as being "fact". I would do the same in writing a book (people are, after all, looking for your view). But as a reader I think it is important to keep in mind this is the process followed by one very experienced individual. A careful read shows that even he is saying things can change immediately and many other things will matter. But in much of the book it would be easy to drift into thinking he is providing "the answer".
Second, I felt the book was a little unstructured at times. It would have helped to have more of the structure laid out in the front of the book so that as I read I had some idea where we are headed. I think there is a very nice structure there in many parts of the book - he starts with a few well known countries and then uses them as benchmarks as we explore much more of the world - but it is only after reading it that I see the structure. It reads a little like a bunch of individual analyses that he then put together (and given his acknowledgements thank an editor for a magazine he publishes in, that may be the basis).
Neither of these detract so much that I dropped a star. Rather, I think they would be helpful for readers to know so they can get the most out of what is a very interesting book.
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